What is the worst month to invest in ARKK?

March is historically the worst month for ARKK, with an average return of -3.38% and a 25% win rate over 13 years.

How is the best month to invest in ARKK calculated?

We analyze 13 years of daily price data for ARKK (from 2014-10-31 to 2026-03-09). For each calendar month, we calculate the return from the first trading day to the last trading day, then average across all years. The month with the highest average return is considered the best month to invest.

Best Month to Invest in ARKK (ARKK)

Q: What is the best month to invest in ARKK?

Based on 13 years of historical data (2014-10-31 to 2026-03-09), June is the best month to invest in ARKK with an average return of +6.76% and a 64% win rate.

Daily prices from October 31, 2014 · Data through March 9, 2026 · By Archibald Sheran

Based on 13 years of data (2014–2026), June is the best month to invest in ARKK with an average return of +6.76% and a 64% win rate. The worst month is March (-3.38%).

This page presents historical statistical analysis for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice and should not be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Best Month

June

+6.76% avg

Worst Month

March

-3.38% avg

Positive Months

7/12

+18.5% cumulative

Years Analyzed

2014–2026

Average Monthly Returns for ARKK

Cyan = best month, Red = worst month, Green = positive average, Muted red = negative average.

Monthly Return Breakdown

Month	Avg Return	Win Rate	Median	Best	Worst	Samples
January	+2.65%	67%	+6.89%	+31.09%	-22.23%	12
February	-0.47%	50%	+0.39%	+11.34%	-9.94%	12
MarchWorst	-3.38%	25%	-2.48%	+9.41%	-18.64%	12
April	+0.11%	45%	-0.07%	+37.50%	-30.22%	11
May	+3.51%	64%	+3.88%	+19.93%	-12.93%	11
JuneBest	+6.76%	64%	+2.76%	+23.04%	-6.16%	11
July	+3.97%	82%	+2.85%	+11.81%	-7.09%	11
August	+1.63%	55%	+0.75%	+14.96%	-11.53%	11
September	-0.42%	36%	-2.99%	+15.98%	-10.66%	11
October	-0.62%	55%	+1.00%	+9.09%	-10.32%	11
November	+6.28%	67%	+3.62%	+30.59%	-15.53%	12
December	-1.57%	42%	-0.54%	+12.17%	-17.57%	12

Equity Curve & Cycle Detection

If you invested $1,000 in ARKK during a specific calendar month each year, how would it have grown? Toggle cycle detection to see rising and declining phases on the curve.

End Equity

$1,974

Total Return

+97.44%

Max Drawdown

-6.16%

Win Rate

63.6%

Equity curve Cycle overlay Projection Rising phase Declining phase

Advanced Cycle Detection with Spectral Analysis

The cycle overlay above uses a simple detrended moving average. Does It Repeat offers a much more powerful cycle detection engine inside the app:

●Lomb-Scargle periodogram — finds dominant cycle periods even with unevenly spaced trade data
●Cycle regime analysis — projects the cycle forward to identify historically rising and declining phases
●Daily precision — analyze seasonal patterns with exact entry/exit dates, not just monthly averages

Try Advanced Cycle Detection Free

How to Read This Data

Average Return is the mean percentage change from the first trading day to the last trading day of each calendar month, averaged across 13 years.

Win Rate shows how often ARKK finished the month with a positive return. A 75% win rate means ARKK gained value in that month 3 out of every 4 years.

Median Return is the middle value when all yearly returns for that month are sorted. Unlike the average, the median is not skewed by extreme outliers.

Seasonal patterns are historical tendencies, not guarantees. Past performance does not predict future results. Use this data as one input alongside your own research.

Beyond monthly averages

See every seasonal window for ARKK

Calendar months are a coarse lens. Does It Repeat finds the exact entry and exit dates of each recurring window, how consistently it has held historically, and whether the pattern still holds up.

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The next yearly windows with a perfect record

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Free account includes a screener preview, no credit card. Full access $20/mo at early-adopter pricing, 14-day money-back guarantee, cancel anytime. All statistics are historical; past performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best month to invest in ARKK?▾

Based on 13 years of data, June is the best month to invest in ARKK. The stock has averaged a +6.76% return in June with a 64% win rate.

What is the worst month for ARKK?▾

March is historically the weakest month for ARKK, with an average return of -3.38% and a 25% win rate.

How reliable is this seasonal data?▾

This analysis uses 13 years of daily closing price data from 2014 to 2026. More years of data generally makes the pattern more reliable. However, seasonal patterns are tendencies, not certainties. Market conditions, economic events, and company-specific factors can override historical patterns in any given year.